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Assume that boys and girls are equally likely. Find the probability that when a couple has three children, there is exactly 1 girl What is the probability of exactly 1 girl out of three children
Approach 1
A random variable ?X ?is said to be binomially distributed if its probability mass function (PMF) is given by
p(x)=x!(n−x)!n!?px(1−p)n−x ?for x=0,1,2,...,n?
where ?n ?is the number of trials (or sample size) and ?p ?is the probability of success.
In detail, binomial experiment possesses the following properties:
For the problem, we let X = number of girls in three children. We know that
n = 3
p = 0.5 (since the probability that a child is a girl is 0.5 (equally likely to the probability that a child is a boy))
So the PMF would be
p(x)=x!(3−x)!3!?0.5x(1−0.5)3−xfor x=0,1,2,3
Now we write the probability of exactly 1 girl out of three children as P(X=1). Thus
P(X=1)=p(1)
P(X=1)=1!(3−1)!3!?0.51(1−0.5)3−1
P(X=1)=0.375
Approach 2
We know that the following combinations are
bbb, bbg, bgb, gbb, bgg, gbg, ggb, bbb
The sample points where there is exactly 1 girl are
bbg, bgb, gbb
So the probability would be total number of outcomesnumber of exactly 1 girl?=83?=0.375