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Consider a European put option on an non-dividend paying stock with a maturity of six months
Consider a European put option on an non-dividend paying stock with a maturity of six months. The current stock price is $80 per share, and the continuously compounded risk-free interest rate is 5% per year. The strike price of the put option is $85. Assume that the stock price follows a log-normal distribution with a volatility of 30% per year. The risk neutral probability is 0.46257
Set up a two-period binomial model and use McDonald's formula to compute stock prices in the binomial tree.
Questions:
1. Use the risk-neutral probability method to compute the value of the put option at node u: $__________.
2. The value of the put option at node d is: $______________.
3. Based on your answer for questions 1 and 2, use the risk-neutral probability to compute the price of the put option at node 0: $_________.
4. Now, let's compute discounted cash flow in one step.
We use π to denote the risk-neutral probability. Starting from node 0, the probability of reaching node uu (the stock price at this node is 110.7225) is π2; the probability of reaching node ud (Sud=82.0252) is 2×π(1-π); and the probability of reaching node dd (Sdd=60.7658) is (1-π)2 . Denote the payoff of the put option at these nodes to be Puu, Pud, and Pdd, respectively.
The expected payoff of the put option under the risk-neutral probability can be computed as:
EP=π2 Puu+2 π(1-π) Pud +(1-π)2 Pdd.
Now, let's compute the discounted expected cash flow: e-0.05 * 0.5 EP=$____________. Compare your solution with the one obtained in question 3.
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