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Market analysts forecast that the economy in future would be either steady or boom or in recession with a probability of 40%, 35% and 25% respectively

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Market analysts forecast that the economy in future would be either steady or boom or in recession with a probability of 40%, 35% and 25% respectively. If annual returns of AB Company shares are 8.5%, 15.6% and 4.25% under each economic condition respectively, what would be the expected return in future? a) 9.45% b) 9.92% c) 8.78% d) 10.25%