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Every day Cara runs for five miles

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Every day Cara runs for five miles. Suppose that the time it takes her to complete the run is a random variable that is normally distributed with a mean of 50 minutes and a standard deviation of 5 minutes. Today Cara ran the five miles in 46 minutes. What is the probability that she will beat her time tomorrow?

 

A person must score in the upper 2% of the population on an IQ test to qualify for membership in Mensa, the international high-IQ society. If IQ scores are normally distributed with a mean of 100 and a standard deviation of 15, what score must a person have to qualify for Mensa?

 

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1) Computation of Probability that she will beat her time tomorrow:

Cara beat her time tomorrow means she run faster than today.

That is time taken by her to complete five miles is less than 46 min

Given,

 μ = 50 ,  σ = 5

We convert this to standard normal as

P( X < x) = P( Z < x -  μ/σ )

So,

P( X < 46) = P( Z < 46 - 50 / 5)

= P( Z < -0.8)

= 1 - P( Z < 0.8)

= 1 - 0.7881 (Probability calculated from Z table)

0.2119

So, Probability that she will beat her time tomorrow is 0.2119

 

2) Computation of score must a person have to qualify for Mensa:

 For top 2% z = 2.05

Mean = 100, sd = 15

x = μ + z*σ

= 100 + 2.05*15

x = 130.75

Hence, a person must score 130.75 or higher to qualify for Mensa.