Homework answers / question archive / Are concerns over Hillary Clinton’s health changing the equation? Donald Trump has once again edged ahead of Clinton after trailing her by four points a week ago

Are concerns over Hillary Clinton’s health changing the equation? Donald Trump has once again edged ahead of Clinton after trailing her by four points a week ago

Writing

Share With

Are concerns over Hillary Clinton’s health changing the equation? Donald Trump has once again edged
ahead of Clinton after trailing her by four points a week ago.
The latest Rasmussen Reports weekly White House Watch national telephone and online survey shows
Trump with 42% support to Clinton’s 40%. Libertarian candidate Gary Johnson gets seven percent (7%)
of the vote, and Green Party candidate Jill Stein earns two percent (2%). Another two percent (2%) like
some other candidate, and seven percent (7%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click
here.)
Clinton led Trump 43% to 39% a week ago and has trailed the GOP nominee only one time since mid-
July. Still, the race has remained a close one for months, within or just outside our survey’s +/- 3 margin
of error.
Clinton earns 74% support among Democratic voters, while 76% of Republicans favor Trump. Trump has
pulled slightly ahead of Clinton 36% to 32% among voters not affiliated with either political party.
Johnson has the support of six percent (6%) of Republicans, two percent (2%) of Democrats and 15% of
unaffiliateds. Stein earns just one percent (1%) support from GOP voters, two percent (2%) of
Democrats and three percent (3%) of unaffiliated voters.
(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are
also available on Twitter or Facebook.
The survey of 1,000 Likely Voters was conducted on September 12-13, 2016 by Rasmussen Reports. The
margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all
Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.
This latest White House Watch survey was taken after Clinton’s fainting spell at Sunday’s 9/11 ceremony
in New York City and after her campaign’s release of a statement saying she is suffering from
pneumonia. Democrats aren’t worried about Clinton’s health, but most other voters feel she may not be
physically up to the job.
This week's survey finds Trump with a six-point advantage among men and in a near tie among women.
Clinton remains ahead among those under 40 but trails among older voters.
The Democratic nominee is the choice of 73% of liberal voters and holds a 45% to 31% advantage among
moderates. Seventy-two percent (72%) of conservatives prefer Trump.
Voters strongly agree that a candidate’s health is an important voting issue, but while most Republicans
and unaffiliated voters think the state of Clinton’s health is worth exploring, the majority of Democrats
disagree.
After posting the summary and link to the website, use what you have learned about confidence
intervals in the reading and homework to provide the following details for one proportion/percentage
reported.

1. State the confidence interval estimate in two ways:
o the upper and lower limits
o the sample proportion ± the error term
(don’t forget to include the confidence level)
2. Describe how the data was collected, including the sample size and dates.
3. State the meaning of the confidence interval in terms of the specific question in the poll.