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The Duo Growth Company just paid a dividend of $1 per share

Finance

The Duo Growth Company just paid a dividend of $1 per share. The dividend is expected to grow at a rate of 25% over the 3 following years starting this year, and then to level off to 5% per year forever. You think the appropriate market capitalization rate is 20% per year. a) What is your estimate of the intrinsic value of a share of the stock now? b) If the market price of a share is equal to this intrinsic value, what is the expected dividend yield? c) What do you expect its price to be 1 year from now? Is the implied capital gain consistent with your estimate of the dividend yield and the market capitalization rate?

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a) Intrinsic value is simply present value of all future cashflow

Year Working Dividend PVF @ 20% PV
1 1(1+0.25) 1.250 0.833 1.042
2 1.25(1+0.25) 1.563 0.694 1.085
3 1.563(1+0.25) 1.953 0.579 1.130
4 Onwards 1.953(1+0.05) 2.051   7.912
      Total 11.169

PV of 4 year onwards dividend = D4 /Ke - g * PVF (20% , 3)

=2.051/0.20 - 0.05 * 0.579 =7.912

b) If market price is equals intrinsic value then expected dividend yield will be = Dividend / MPS *100

=1.25/11.169 * 100 = 11.19%

c) Expected price = P0(1+Ke) - D1

= 11.169(1 + 0.20) - 1.25

= 12.1528

Here capital gain yield = P1 - P0 / P0 * 100

=12.1528 - 11.169 / 11.169 * 100

= 8.81%

Total Yield = Dividend Yield + capital gain Yield = 11.19 + 8.81 = 20% consistent to market capitalisation rate.