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Homework answers / question archive / Last year, at Northern Manufacturing Company, 200 people had colds during the year

Last year, at Northern Manufacturing Company, 200 people had colds during the year

Statistics

Last year, at Northern Manufacturing Company, 200 people had colds during the year. One hundred fifty-five people who did no exercising had colds, and the remainder of the people with colds were involved in a weekly exercise program. Half of the 1000 employees were involved in some type of exercise.

a. What is the probability that an employee will have a cold next year?

b. Given that an employee is involved in an exercise program, what is the probability that he or she will get a cold next year?

c. What is the probability that an employee who is not involved in an exercise program will get a cold next year?

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 What is the probability that an employee will have a cold next year?

There are 1000 employees and 200 had colds during the year. So, the probability that an employee will have a cold next year is

p=200/1000=0.20

b. Given that an employee is involved in an exercise program, what is the probability that he or she will ge a cold next year?

There are 1000 employees and 500 employees are involved in an exercise program. We know that 200-155=45 of the people with colds were involved in a weekly exercise program. So, we conclude that given that an employee is involved in an exercise program, the probability that he or she will ge a cold next year is
45/500=0.09

c. What is the probability that an employee who is not involved in an exercise program will get a cold next year?
p=200/1000=0.20

b. Given that an employee is involved in an exercise program, what is the probability that he or she will ge a cold next year?

There are 1000 employees and 500 employees are NOT involved in an exercise program. We know that 155 of the people with colds were NOT involved in a weekly exercise program. So, we conclude that the probability that an employee who is not involved in an exercise program will get a cold next year is
155/500=0.31