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Question1)A bakery buys sugar in 15-pound bags
Question1)A bakery buys sugar in 15-pound bags. The bakery uses 5000 bags of sugar each year. Carrying costs are $20 per bag per year. Ordering costs are estimated at $5 per order. Assume that the bakery is open 250 days a year and its daily demand is estimated at 20 bags. It takes 5 days for each order of sugar to be filled. What are the total annual holding costs?
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$500 |
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$1000 |
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$750 |
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$250 |
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$20 |
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Question 2 |
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In a scatter diagram, the dependent variable is typically plotted on the horizontal axis.
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True |
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False |
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Question 3 |
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A plant manager is considering buying additional stamping machines to accommodate increasing demand. The alternatives are to buy 1 machine, 2 machines, or 3 machines. The profits realized under each alternative are a function of whether their bid for a recent defense contract is accepted or not. The payoff table below illustrates the profits realized (in $000's) based on the different scenarios faced by the manager.
Alternative Bid Accepted Bid Rejected
Buy 1 machine $10 $5
Buy 2 machines $30 $4
Buy 3 machines $40 $2
Using the information above, which alternative should be chosen based on the minimax regret criterion?
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Buy 1 machine |
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Buy 2 machines |
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Buy 3 machines |
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Question 4 |
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A plant manager is considering buying additional stamping machines to accommodate increasing demand. The alternatives are to buy 1 machine, 2 machines, or 3 machines. The profits realized under each alternative are a function of whether their bid for a recent defense contract is accepted or not. The payoff table below illustrates the profits realized (in $000's) based on the different scenarios faced by the manager.
Alternative Bid Accepted Bid Rejected
Buy 1 machine $10 $5
Buy 2 machines $30 $4
Buy 3 machines $40 $2
Using the information above, which alternative should be chosen based on the maximin criterion?
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Buy 1 machine |
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Buy 3 machines |
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Buy 2 machines |
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Question 5 |
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Stating that two events are statistically independent means that the probability of one event occurring is independent of the probability of the other event having occurred.
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True |
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False |
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Question 6 |
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Consider the following gasoline data:
Referring to the information above, suppose we expect year 3 to have annual demand of 800. What is the forecast value for the second quarter in year 3?
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182.64 |
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175.00 |
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175.34 |
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186.00 |
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Question 7 |
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A __________ is a numerical statement about the likelihood that an event will occur.
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variance |
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collectively exhaustive construct |
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standard deviation |
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probability |
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mutually exclusive construct |
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Question 8 |
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Consider the following payoff table that represents the profits earned for each alternative (A, B, and C) under the states of nature S1, S2, and S3.
S1 S2 S3
A $60 $145 $120
B $75 $125 $110
C $95 $85 $130
Refer to the payoff table. Using the maximax criterion, what would be the highest expected payoff?
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$120 |
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$124 |
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$145 |
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$110 |
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$100 |
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Question 9 |
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Which of the following terms is interchangeable with quantitative analysis?
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Financial analysis |
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Statistics |
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None of the above |
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Economics |
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Management science |
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Question 10 |
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A bakery buys sugar in 15-pound bags. The bakery uses 5000 bags of sugar each year. Carrying costs are $20 per bag per year. Ordering costs are estimated at $5 per order. Assume that the bakery is open 250 days a year and its daily demand is estimated at 20 bags. It takes 5 days for each order of sugar to be filled. What is the average inventory held in a given cycle?
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0 |
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25 |
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50 |
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75 |
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100 |
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Question 11 |
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A controllable variable is also called:
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a mathematical model. |
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a measurable quantity. |
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a decision variable. |
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none of the above. |
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a parameter. |
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Question 12 |
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Arrivals in a university advising office during the week of registration are known to follow a Poisson distribution with an average of four people arriving each hour. What is the probability that exactly five people will arrive in the next hour?
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0.1563 |
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0.1509 |
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0.1633 |
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0.1688 |
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Question 13 |
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If a bucket has three black balls and seven green balls, and we draw balls without replacement, the probability of drawing a green ball is independent of the number of balls previously drawn.
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True |
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False |
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Question 14 |
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Assume that you have tried three different forecasting models. For the first, the MAD = 2.5, for the second, the MSE = 10.5, and for the third, the MAPE = 2.7. We can then say:
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the second method is the best. |
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None of the above |
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methods one and three are preferable to method two. |
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method two is least preferred. |
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the third method is the best. |
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Question 15 |
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If the assumptions of regression have been met, errors plotted against the independent variable will typically show patterns.
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True |
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False |
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Question 16 |
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Which of the following is not a common pitfall of regression?
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Concluding that a statistically significant relationship implies practical value. |
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Nonlinear relationships cannot be incorporated. |
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Using a regression equation beyond the range of X is very questionable. |
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If the assumptions are not met, the statistical tests may not be valid. |
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Two variables may be highly correlated to one another but one is not causing the other to change. |
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Question 17 |
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A local ice cream shop sells 10,000 cones of vanilla-flavored ice cream each year. The cones are ordered from an outside supplier and it takes 5 days for each shipment of cones to arrive. Ordering costs are estimated at $15 per order. Carrying costs are $5 per cone per year. Assume that the ice cream shop is open 250 days a year. What is the optimal EOQ for ice cream cones?
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186.75 |
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81.65 |
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122..47 |
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244.95 |
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Question 18 |
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A scatter diagram is useful to determine if a relationship exists between two variables.
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True |
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False |
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Question 19 |
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Data for a particular subdivision near downtown Houston indicate that the average price per square foot for a home is $100 with a standard deviation of $5 (normally distributed). What is the probability that the average price per square foot for a home is less than $85?
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0.618 |
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0.382 |
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0.999 |
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0.001 |
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None of the above |
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Question 20 |
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Consider the following payoff table that represents the profits earned for each alternative (A, B, and C) under the states of nature S1, S2, and S3.
S1 S2 S3
A $60 $145 $120
B $75 $125 $110
C $95 $85 $130
Refer to the payoff table. Using the maximin criterion, what would be the highest expected payoff?
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$75 |
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$60 |
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$85 |
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$145 |
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$125 |
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Question 21 |
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Daily demand for newspapers for the last 10 days has been as follows: 12, 13, 16, 15, 12, 18, 14, 12, 13, 15 (listed from oldest to most recent). Forecast sales for the next day using a two-day weighted moving average where the weights are 3 and 1 are:
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14 |
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13.5 |
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12.25 |
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12.75 |
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14.5 |
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Question 22 |
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A bakery buys sugar in 15-pound bags. The bakery uses 5000 bags of sugar each year. Carrying costs are $20 per bag per year. Ordering costs are estimated at $5 per order. Assume that the bakery is open 250 days a year and its daily demand is estimated at 20 bags. It takes 5 days for each order of sugar to be filled. What is the minimum inventory held in a given EOQ cycle?
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25 bags |
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0 bags |
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2500 bags |
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50 bags |
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100 bags |
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Question 23 |
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The regression model assumes the errors are normally distributed.
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True |
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False |
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Question 24 |
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An urn contains seven blue and three yellow chips. If the drawing of chips is done with replacement, what is the probability of drawing a blue chip on the second draw given that a yellow chip was drawn on the first draw?
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0.300 |
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0.700 |
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0.210 |
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0.027 |
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Question 25 |
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Which of the following is not classified as a qualitative forecasting model?
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Sales force composite |
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Jury of executive opinion |
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Delphi method |
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Consumer market survey |
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Exponential smoothing |
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