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Homework answers / question archive / A commercial bakery has recorded sales (in dozens) for three products, as shown below:        Day   Blueberry Muffins   Cinnamon Buns   Cupcakes 1 30 18 45 2 34 17 26 3 32 19 27 4 34 19 23 5 35 22 22 6 30 23 48 7 34 23 29 8 36 25 20 9 29 24 14 10 31 26 18 11 35 27 47 12 31 28 26 13 37 29 27 14 34 31 24 15 33 33 22       a

A commercial bakery has recorded sales (in dozens) for three products, as shown below:        Day   Blueberry Muffins   Cinnamon Buns   Cupcakes 1 30 18 45 2 34 17 26 3 32 19 27 4 34 19 23 5 35 22 22 6 30 23 48 7 34 23 29 8 36 25 20 9 29 24 14 10 31 26 18 11 35 27 47 12 31 28 26 13 37 29 27 14 34 31 24 15 33 33 22       a

Operations Management

A commercial bakery has recorded sales (in dozens) for three products, as shown below:

    

  Day   Blueberry Muffins   Cinnamon Buns   Cupcakes
1 30 18 45
2 34 17 26
3 32 19 27
4 34 19 23
5 35 22 22
6 30 23 48
7 34 23 29
8 36 25 20
9 29 24 14
10 31 26 18
11 35 27 47
12 31 28 26
13 37 29 27
14 34 31 24
15 33 33 22
 

   

a. Predict orders for the following day for each of the products using an appropriate naive method.

   

     
  Blueberry Muffin : The (Click to select)seasonal-adjusted naivebasic naivetrend-adjusted naive forecast is   
  Cinnamon Buns : The (Click to select)basic naiveseasonal-adjusted naivetrend-adjusted naive forecast is   
  Cupcakes : The (Click to select)basic naiveseasonal-adjusted naivetrend-adjusted naive forecast is   
 

    

b. What should the use of sales data instead of demand imply?

    

 

The use of sales data instead of demand implies that (Click to select)demandsales adequately reflect (Click to select)salesdemand. We are assuming that no stock-outs occurred because demand equals sales if there are no shortages.

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