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Assume you take a long GBP position with the maturity of 1 Year at the following forward rate: F1USD/GBP = 1

Finance Dec 26, 2020

Assume you take a long GBP position with the maturity of 1 Year at the following forward rate: F1USD/GBP = 1.51. Assume the contract amount is: AUSD = 2,000,000. Today’s USD/GBP spot rate is: X0USD/GBP = 1.55. The 1-Year interest rates for GBP is 3%; the USD 1-Year interest rate is 5%. After one year the forward contract matures. Assume that the USD/GBP spot exchange rate at t = 1 is: X1USD/GBP = 1.58. What is your loss/gain of the forward contract?

A. Gain of USD 61,349.69

B. Loss of USD 61,349.69

C. Gain of USD 92,715.23

D. Loss of USD 92,715.23

Expert Solution

Solution:-

If we take a long position GBP position with a 1-year forward contract, than my gain or loss from the contract is the differential between the forward contract price and spot price after 1 year. If the spot price after one year is unfavourable as compared to the forward contract price, we would make a gain from the contract and vice-versa.

Let's understand this way. As we have entered into the forward contract, we would buy GBP after one year at the rate of $1.51 per GBP. Hence, the amount of GBP we would end up buying is as follows:

GBP bought after one year under the forward contract= Contract value in USD/USD per GBP= $2,000,000/$1.51= GBP 1,324,503.31126

Now, value of this GBP acquired after one year will be on the basis of the spot price prevailing after one year as follows:

$ market value of GBP acquired based on spot market after 1 year= GBP 1,324,503.31126*USD per GBP

$ market value of GBP acquired based on spot market after 1 year= GBP 1,324,503.31126*1.58= $2,092,715.23

Now, our cost to buy GBP after one year was $2,000,000 and the market value of the acquired currency in spot market turned out to be $2,092,715.23, therefore, we made a gain from the forward contract and is calculated as follows:

Gain from forward contract= Market value of acquired GBP - Cost to buy GBP = $2,092,715.23 - $2,000,000 = $92,715.23

Thus, the correct option is the third option.

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