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1) Calculate the expected standard deviation on stock: State of the economy Probability of the state Percentage returns Economic recession 15% -5% Steady economic growth 38% 5% Boom Please calculate it 11% 2) James Fromholtz is considering whether to invest in a newly formed investment fund
1) Calculate the expected standard deviation on stock:
State of the economy Probability of the state Percentage returns
Economic recession 15% -5%
Steady economic growth 38% 5%
Boom Please calculate it 11%
2) James Fromholtz is considering whether to invest in a newly formed investment fund. The fund's investment objective is to acquire home mortgage securities at what it hopes will be bargain prices. The fund sponsor has suggested to James that the fund's performance will hinge on how the national economy performs in the coming year. Specifically, he suggested the following possible outcomes.
a) Based on these potential outcomes, what is your estimate of the expected rate of retum from this investment opportunity?
b) Calculate the standard deviation in the anticipated retums found in part a.
c) Would you be interested in making such an investment? Note that you lose all your money in one year if the economy collapses into the worst state or you double your money if the economy enters into a rapid expansion.
Data Table
State of Economy Probability Fund Returns
Rapid expansion and recovery 5% 100%
Modest growth 35% 40%
Continued recession 55% 10%
Falls into depression 5% -100%
Expert Solution
1) Expected standard deviation on stock = 5.49%
2-a) Expected rate of return = 19.50%
b) Standard deviation = 35.14%
c) No, I would not be interested in making such an investment. The economy is lost likely to sink into a depression. Because it depends on risk tolerance.
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