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what is the standard deviation on this data boom normal bust probability 0

Finance Apr 19, 2021

what is the standard deviation on this data

boom normal bust

probability 0.2 0.5 0.3

return 20% 8% -25%

Expert Solution

Computation of Standard Deviation:            
State of Economy Probability Return Probability * Return Return - Expected Return (Return - Expected Return)^2 Probability *(Return-Expected return)^2
Boom  0.2 20% 4.00% 19.5000% 0.038025 0.76%  
Normal 0.5 8% 4.00% 7.5000% 0.005625 0.28%  
Bust 0.3 -25.00% -7.50% -25.5000% 0.065025 1.95%  
    Expected Return =  0.50%   Variance = 2.99%  
          Standard Deviation = 17.30%  =0.28%^(1/2)
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