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Suppose you have just won the lottery and must choose one of the following riskless payoffs

Finance Dec 25, 2020

Suppose you have just won the lottery and must choose one of the following riskless payoffs. Which payoff has the largest present value if the interest rate is 5% per year? O $140,000 paid five years from today O $15,000 paid every year for 15 years, with the first payment made next year O $120,000 paid two years from today O $7.000 paid every year, forever, with the first payment made next year

Expert Solution

Part A:

Present Value:

Present value is current value of Future cash flows discounted at specified discount Rate.

PV = FV / (1+r)^n
Where r is Int rate per period
n - No. of periods

Particulars Amount
Future Value $          140,000.00
Int Rate 5.0000%
Periods 5

Present Value = Future Value / ( 1 + r )^n
= $ 140000 / ( 1 + 0.05 ) ^ 5
= $ 140000 / ( 1.05 ) ^ 5
= $ 140000 / 1.2763
= $ 109693.66

Part B:

PV of Annuity:

Annuity is series of cash flows that are deposited at regular intervals for specific period of time. Here cash flows are happened at the end of the period.
PV of annuity is current value of cash flows to be received at regular intervals discounted at specified int rate or discount rate to current date.

PV of Annuity = Cash Flow * [ 1 - [(1+r)^-n]] /r
r - Int rate per period
n - No. of periods

Particulars Amount
Cash Flow $          15,000.00
Int Rate 5.0000%
Periods 15

PV of Annuity = Cash Flow * [ 1 - [(1+r)^-n]] /r
= $ 15000 * [ 1 - [(1+0.05)^-15]] /0.05
= $ 15000 * [ 1 - [(1.05)^-15]] /0.05
= $ 15000 * [ 1 - [0.481]] /0.05
= $ 15000 * [0.519]] /0.05
= $ 155694.87

Part C:

Particulars Amount
Future Value $          120,000.00
Int Rate 5.0000%
Periods 2

Present Value = Future Value / ( 1 + r )^n
= $ 120000 / ( 1 + 0.05 ) ^ 2
= $ 120000 / ( 1.05 ) ^ 2
= $ 120000 / 1.1025
= $ 108843.54

Part D:

Present Value = Cash flow / Disc Rate

= $ 7000 / 5%

= $ 140000

Option 2 has higher present value.

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