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You have just started working at a boutique corporate finance house that has tasked you with valuing three shares in the automotive industry
You have just started working at a boutique corporate finance house that has tasked you with valuing three shares in the automotive industry. In-house analysis has indicated that the shares are all expected long-term growth rates equal to inflation. Using the dividend discount model and the information provided in the table below, calculate the value of each share. The risk free rate is 5.3%, the expected inflation rate is 3% and the expected market risk premium is 7.5%. The market standard deviation is 14.4914% Shares A B ? Covariance/with Market 0.0154 0.0139 0.0121 Dividend 0 R36 R32 R46 Growth (years 1-2) 29.9% 25.9% 13.8% Growth (years 3-6) 14.5% 11.2% 5.1%
Expert Solution
| Using dividend discount model | |||||
| value of share= | D1/(Ke-g) | ||||
| D1= dividend of next year | |||||
| ke= cost of equity | |||||
| g= growth | |||||
| Using CAPM, | |||||
| Ke= | Rf+Market risk premium*Beta | ||||
| Beta= | Covariance/Standard deviation^2 | ||||
| A | B | C | |||
| Covariance | 0.0154 | 0.0139 | 0.0121 | ||
| Standard deviation^2 | 0.0210001 | 0.021 | 0.021000067 | ||
| Beta= | 0.73 | 0.66 | 0.58 | ||
| Rf | 5.30% | 5.30% | 5.30% | ||
| Market risk premium | 7.50% | 7.50% | 7.50% | ||
| Ke= | 10.80% | 10.26% | 9.62% | ||
| Value of share A | |||||
| Year | growth | Dividend | Present value factor @10.8% | Present value | |
| 1 | 29.90% | 46.764 | 0.902527076 | 42.21 | |
| 2 | 29.90% | 60.74644 | 0.814555123 | 49.48 | |
| 3 | 14.50% | 69.55467 | 0.735158053 | 51.13 | |
| 4 | 14.50% | 79.6401 | 0.663500048 | 52.84 | |
| 5 | 14.50% | 91.18791 | 0.598826758 | 54.61 | |
| 6 | 14.50% | 104.4102 | 0.540457363 | 56.43 | |
| 7 onwards | 3% | 107.5425 | 1378.75 | =D1/(Ke-g) | |
| Value of share A | 1685.45 | ||||
| Value of share B | |||||
| Year | growth | Dividend | Present value factor @10.26% | Present value | |
| 1 | 25.90% | 40.29 | 0.906947216 | 36.54 | |
| 2 | 25.90% | 50.72 | 0.822553252 | 41.72 | |
| 3 | 11.20% | 56.40 | 0.746012382 | 42.08 | |
| 4 | 11.20% | 62.72 | 0.676593852 | 42.44 | |
| 5 | 11.20% | 69.75 | 0.613634911 | 42.80 | |
| 6 | 11.20% | 77.56 | 0.556534474 | 43.16 | |
| 7 onwards | 3% | 79.88 | 1100.33 | =D1/(Ke-g) | |
| Value of share B | 1349.06 | ||||
| Value of share C | |||||
| Year | growth | Dividend | Present value factor @9.62% | Present value | |
| 1 | 13.80% | 52.35 | 0.912242292 | 47.75 | |
| 2 | 13.80% | 59.57 | 0.832185998 | 49.58 | |
| 3 | 5.10% | 62.61 | 0.759155262 | 47.53 | |
| 4 | 5.10% | 65.80 | 0.692533536 | 45.57 | |
| 5 | 5.10% | 69.16 | 0.63175838 | 43.69 | |
| 6 | 5.10% | 72.69 | 0.576316712 | 41.89 | |
| 7 onwards | 3% | 74.87 | 1130.92 | =D1/(Ke-g) | |
| Value of share C | 1406.93 | ||||
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