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Mid States Company is a regional chain department store

Finance Dec 02, 2020

Mid States Company is a regional chain department store. It will remain in business for one more year. The probability of a boom year is 60 percent and the probability of a recession is 40 percent. It is projected that the company will generate a total cash flow of $188 million in a boom year and $79 million in a recession. The company's required debt payment at the end of the year is $113 million. The market value of the company's outstanding debt is $86 million. The company pays no taxes. What payoff do bondholders expect to receive in the event of a recession? (Do not a. round intermediate calculations and enter your answer in dollars, not millions of dollars, rounded to the nearest whole dollar, e.g., 1,234,567.) What is the promised return on the company's debt? (Do not round intermediate b. calculations and enter your answer as a percent rounded to 2 decimal places, e.g., 32.16.) What is the expected return on the company's debt? (Do not round intermediate c. calculations and enter your answer as a percent rounded to 2 decimal places, e.g., 32.16.) a. b. Payoff Promised return Expected return % C. %

Expert Solution

Solution

a)When there is recession at year-end, company will generate $79 million. But the required year-end debt payment is $113 million. Therefore, debt-holders will receive only $79 million and equity holders will receive nothing.

Payoff to bondholders = $79 million

b:

Promised yield =(113/86)-1 = 31.40%

c:

At year-end

During recession, bondholders receive = $79 million

During boom, bondholders receive = $113 million (and rest will go to equity-holders)

Expected value of bondholders’ payoff = 0.6*113 + 0.4*79 = 99.4

Expected return = (99.4/86)-1 = 15.58%

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