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CObtain the posterior probabilities in Example 6

Statistics Nov 18, 2020

CObtain the posterior probabilities in Example 6.7, if a message has been received which does not exceed 100 characters. A binary communication channel carries data as one of two sets of signals denoted by 0 and 1. Owing to noise, a transmitted 0 is sometimes received as a 1, and a transmitted 1 is sometimes received as a 0. For a given channel, it can be assumed that a transmitted 0 is correctly received with probability 0.95, and a transmitted 1 is correctly received with probability 0.75. Also, 70% of all messages are transmitted as a 0. If a signal is sent, determine the probability that:

(a) a 1 was received;

(b) a 1 was transmitted given than a 1 was received.

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