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1)The following data are taken from the financial market pages of an Australian newspaper

Finance Oct 16, 2020

1)The following data are taken from the financial market pages of an Australian newspaper.

Forward Margins

Forward Contract Forward Margins (Buy A$/Sell A$)
1 month 0/1
2 months 1/2
3 months 1/3
6 months 2/4
1 year 0/1
2 years -16/-8
3 years -51/-11

The data under the “Forward Margins” column represent the forward contracts for the US dollar with respect to the Australian dollar (given in points form).

A) What do the forward rates indicate in terms of whether the A$ is expected to strengthen or weaken with respect to the US dollar?

2)Identify and explain any (3) advantages of using the Payback method.

Expert Solution

1)

All the forward points over 1, 2, 3 & 6 month(s) and 1 year are positive.

This means we need higher quantum of A$ to buy 1 US $ over these months.

Hence, in the short run, i.e. over next 1 to 6 months or upto 1 year,  A$ is expected to weaken w.r.t US $.

However, all the forward points over medium to long run i.e. over 2 years and 3 years are negative.

This means we need lower quantum of A$ to buy 1 US $ over 2 & 3 years.

Hence, in the long run, i.e. over next 2 to 3 years,  A$ is expected to strengthen w.r.t US $.

2)

Explain three advantages of Payback method.

i) Payback period calculation is a simple method of calclation in capital budgeting to compute the period recovered to recoup the investment amount. It doesnot involve complex calculation and hence, the calculation process is relatively quicker.

ii) Payback period computes the period within which the investment can be recouped. In other words, it measures the risk in the project's payback. It is also a tool to measure the liquidity risk in the project.

iii) Payback method can be used a tool to compare various project proposal present before the management. If other things are constant in a project, project with a lower the payback period is preferred over a project with a higher payback.

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