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Marcal Corporation is considering a gold mining project would cost $15 million today and generate positive cash flows of $6 million a year at the end of each of the next 4 years

Accounting Sep 19, 2020

Marcal Corporation is considering a gold mining project would cost $15 million today and generate positive cash flows of $6 million a year at the end of each of the next 4 years.  The project's cost of capital is 12%.

 

a. Calculate the project's NPV if the company proceeds now.

b.  The company is fairly confident about its cash flow forecast, but expects to have better price information in 1 year. The company believes the cost would be $18 million in 1 year. It estimates there is a 60% change CFs will be $9 million for 4 years and a 40% change CFs will be $5 million for 4 years. Should the company proceed with the project now or wait 1 year until it has better information?  

c. Apart from the calculations above, discuss 3 qualitative factors that the company should consider when making its decision on accepting the new 

Expert Solution

Cost= $15 million

Cash flow= $6 million

Cost of capital= 12%

No. of period= 4

 

a.)

NPV = -15 + 6/1.12 +6/1.12^2 +6/1.12^3 +6/1.12^4

= 3.22 Million

 

b.)

Cost= $18 million

No. of period= 4

Cash flow= $9 million

Change in cash flow= 60%

Cash flow = $5 million

Change in cash flow= 40%

 

Positive cash flow estimate for 4 years = 0.6*9 +0.4*5

= 7.4 Million

 

NPV 1 year from today = -18 + 7.4/1.12 + 7.4/1.12^2 +7.4/1.12^3 + 7.4/1.12^4

= 4.4764 Million

 

NPV today = 4.4764/1.12

= 3.9968 Million or 4 million

 

The company should wait for 1 year because the NPV of waiting for 1 year is greater.

 

c.)

Quantitative factors;

Higher initial investment

Higher future cash flows

Greater foresight in future cash flow

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